Flood hazard and risk analysis in the southwest region of Bangladesh     

Tawatchai Tingsanchali  Mohammed Fazlul Karim 《水文研究》2005,19(10):2055-2069

Flood hazard and risk assessment was conducted to identify the priority areas in the southwest region of Bangladesh for flood mitigation. Simulation of flood flow through the Gorai and Arial Khan river system and its floodplains was done by using a hydrodynamic model. After model calibration and verification, the model was used to simulate the flood flow of 100‐year return period for a duration of four months. The maximum flooding depths at different locations in the rivers and floodplains were determined. The process in determining long flooding durations at every grid point in the hydrodynamic model is laborious and time‐consuming. Therefore the flood durations were determined by using satellite images of the observed flood in 1988, which has a return period close to 100 years. Flood hazard assessment was done considering flooding depth and duration. By dividing the study area into smaller land units for hazard assessment, the hazard index and the hazard factor for each land unit for depth and duration of flooding were determined. From the hazard factors of the land units, a flood hazard map, which indicates the locations of different categories of hazard zones, was developed. It was found that 54% of the study area was in the medium hazard zone, 26% in the higher hazard zone and 20% in the lower hazard zone. Due to lack of sufficient flood damage data, flood damage vulnerability is simply considered proportional to population density. The flood risk factor of each land unit was determined as the product of the flood hazard factor and the vulnerability factor. Knowing the flood risk factors for the land units, a flood risk map was developed based on the risk factors. These maps are very useful for the inhabitants and floodplain management authorities to minimize flood damage and loss of human lives. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Spatial and multivariate analysis of geochemical data from metavolcanic rocks in the Ben Nevis area, Ontario   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

E. C. Grunsky  F. P. Agterberg 《Mathematical Geology》1988,20(7):825-861

A study of the lithogeochemistry of metavolcanics in the Ben Nevis area of Ontario, Canada has shown that factor analysis methods can distinguish lithogeochemical trends related to different geological processes, most notably, the principal compositional variation related to the volcanic stratigraphy and zones of carbonate alteration associated with the presence of sulphides and gold. Auto- and cross-correlation functions have been estimated for the two-dimensional distribution of various elements in the area. These functions allow computation of spatial factors in which patterns of multivariate relationships are dependent upon the spatial auto- and cross-correlation of the components. Because of the anisotropy of primary compositions of the volcanics, some spatial factor patterns are difficult to interpret. Isotropically distributed variables such as CO ₂ are delineated clearly in spatial factor maps. For anisotropically distributed variables (SiO ₂ ), as the neighborhood becomes smaller, the spacial factor maps becomes better. Interpretation of spatial factors requires computation of the corresponding amplitude vectors from the eigenvalue solution. This vector reflects relative amplitudes by which the variables follow the spatial factors. Instability of some eigenvalue solutions requires that caution be used in interpreting the resulting factor patterns. A measure of the predictive power of the spatial factors can be determined from autocorrelation coefficients and squared multiple correlation coefficients that indicate which variables are significant in any given factor. The spatial factor approach utilizes spatial relationships of variables in conjunction with systematic variation of variables representing geological processes. This approach can yield potential exploration targets based on the spatial continuity of alteration haloes that reflect mineralization.List of symbols c _i Scalar factor that minimizes the discrepancy between andU _i - D Radius of circular neighborhood used for estimating auto- and cross-correlation coefficients - d Distance for which transition matrixU is estimated - d _ij Distance between observed valuesi andj - E Expected value - E _i Row vector of residuals in the standardized model - F(d _ij) Quadratic function of distanced _ij F(d _ij)=a+bd _ij+cd _ij ² - L Diagonal matrix of the eigenvalues ofU - _i Eigenvalue of the matrixU;ith diagonal element ofL - N Number of observations - p Number of variables - Q Total predictive power ofU - R Correlation matrix of the variables - R _0j Variance-covariance signal matrix of the standardized variables at origin;j is the index related tod andD (e.g.,j=1 ford=500 m,D=1000 m) - R _1j Matrix of auto- and cross-correlation coefficients evaluated at a given distance within the neighborhood - R _m ² Multiple correlation coefficient squared for themth variable - S _i Column vectori of the signal values - s _k ² Residual variance for variablek - T _i Amplitude vector corresponding toV _i;ith row ofT=V ^–1 - T Total variation in the system - U Nonsymmetric transition matrix formed by post-multiplyingR ₀₁ ^–1 byR _ij - U _i Componenti of the matrixU, corresponding to theith eigenvectorV _i;U _i= _iV_iT_i - U* _i ComponentU _i multiplied byc _i - U _ij Sum of componentsU _i+U _j - V _i Eigenvector of the matrixU;ith column ofV withUV=VL - w Weighting factor; equal to the ratio of two eigenvalues - X _i Random variable at pointi - x _i Value of random variable at pointi - y _i Residual ofx _i - Z _i Row vectori for the standardized variables - z _i Standardized value of variable  相似文献   

Ultraviolet absorption cross-sections of chloro and chlorofluoro-methanes at stratospheric temperatures     

P. C. Simon  D. Gillotay  N. Vanlaethem-Meuree  J. Wisemberg 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1988,7(2):107-135

Absorption cross-sections of nine halomethanes (CCl₄, CHCl₃, CH₂Cl₂, CH₃Cl, CFCl₃, CF₂Cl₂, CF₃Cl, CHFCl₂, and CHF₂Cl), measured between 174 and 250 nm for temperatures ranging from 225 to 295 K, are presented with uncertainties ranging from 2 to 4% and compared with previous determinations made for comparable temperature ranges.The largest temperature effect which takes place near the absorption threshold, decreases the absorption cross-section up to 50% for highly chlorinated methanes, but is negligible for molecules highly stabilized by hydrogen and/or fluorine. Extrapolated values for temperatures of aeronomical interest are presented, as well as parametrical formulas which give absorption cross-section values for given wavelength and temperature ranges.  相似文献   

用相关系数估计导线点误差椭圆参数     

张兰英 《华东地质学院学报》1988,(3)

用比例误差k和导线边数n所表示的坐标相关系数r,当导线走向α=45°时,误差椭圆大小、形状与相关系数之间存在一个简单的数学关系式,在导线设计时可用作精度估算。  相似文献   

A SEARCH TECHNIQUE FOR CHOOSING OPTIMUM PARAMETERS IN NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION     

Liu Jin  Yan Hong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1991,5(5):598-607

The steepest descent(or ascent)search is employed for finding optimum diffusion coefficients in T42L9Gmodel,with a view to improving the model's computational stability or prediction accuracy.The method of thesteepest descent search is first described,in which the golden section search is chosen as the fundamental one-dimensional search used in the multi-dimentional steepest descent search,and then the optimization of the dif-fusion coefficients is described.  相似文献   

一个三维水动力学模型及其在水环境中的适用性试验   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

秦伯强  David K.Stevens 《水科学进展》2001,12(2):143-152

发展了一个三维水动力学模型.该模型在水底磨擦项计算中,采用了流速的平方根法;在湍流扩散系数的估算中,采用了带稳定度函数的参数化方案;对垂直方向上的坐标进行了压缩,引入σ坐标;对时间变量则采用了分离模式技术,即外部模式(快过程)与内部模式(慢过程);而求解外部模式时,采用了显式一隐式格式交错法(ADI),从而使模型不仅计算时间缩短,且可应用于水很深而水平空间尺度很小,又有热力分层的水域中.最后作为该模型的一个实用性试验,选择了美国犹他州East Canyon水库,利用该模型探讨了温跃层对风、人流及出流变化的响应情况.  相似文献   

胶东山丘区典型流域径流年内分配特征量化研究     

刘德林  刘贤赵  李嘉竹  宿庆 《山地学报》2007,25(3):295-301

采用M ann-Kendall法和最小方差法,对大沽夹河流域1966~2004年逐月实测径流数据进行均值变点分析。根据分析结果,将径流划分为水文变化特征相似的A(1966~1971年)、B(1972~1981年)、C(1982~1996年)、D(1997~2004年)4个时段。在此基础上借鉴年降水年内分配的向量法,提出了量化径流年内分配的集中度和集中期。结果表明:1.大沽夹河的不同水文年,其径流年内分配的特征不同。时段A集中度最小,时段D最大,4个时段变差系数为0.12。时段A和时段C的集中期比较接近,最大径流出现的时间均在7月下旬,时段B和时段D的集中期比较相似,最大径流出现的时间在8月中下旬。径流年内分配与降水年内分配两者呈显著正相关。2.用月径流量计算的集中度比径流年内不均匀系数具有更高的分辨能力和有效性,用月径流量计算的集中期对应的月份与月径流最大值出现的实际月份完全一致,径流集中度、集中期能够充分定量地表征径流在年内分配的非均匀性。  相似文献   

Parameterisation of the vertical transport in a small thermally stratified lake     

Christoph von Rohden  Karl Wunderle  Johann Ilmberger 《Aquatic Sciences - Research Across Boundaries》2007,69(1):129-137

  相似文献   

Two different methods of geoidal height determinations using a spherical harmonic representation of the geopotential, topographic corrections and the height anomaly–geoidal height difference     

H. Nahavandchi 《Journal of Geodesy》2002,76(6-7):345-352

 It is suggested that a spherical harmonic representation of the geoidal heights using global Earth gravity models (EGM) might be accurate enough for many applications, although we know that some short-wavelength signals are missing in a potential coefficient model. A `direct' method of geoidal height determination from a global Earth gravity model coefficient alone and an `indirect' approach of geoidal height determination through height anomaly computed from a global gravity model are investigated. In both methods, suitable correction terms are applied. The results of computations in two test areas show that the direct and indirect approaches of geoid height determination yield good agreement with the classical gravimetric geoidal heights which are determined from Stokes' formula. Surprisingly, the results of the indirect method of geoidal height determination yield better agreement with the global positioning system (GPS)-levelling derived geoid heights, which are used to demonstrate such improvements, than the results of gravimetric geoid heights at to the same GPS stations. It has been demonstrated that the application of correction terms in both methods improves the agreement of geoidal heights at GPS-levelling stations. It is also found that the correction terms in the direct method of geoidal height determination are mostly similar to the correction terms used for the indirect determination of geoidal heights from height anomalies. Received: 26 July 2001 / Accepted: 21 February 2002  相似文献   

坡面薄层流水动力学特性的实验研究   总被引：60，自引：1，他引：60       下载免费PDF全文

张光辉 《水科学进展》2002,13(2):159-165

采用变坡实验水槽研究了坡面薄层水流水动力学特性——流态、流速、水深及阻力系数随流量和坡度的变化规律,实验坡度5°～25°、单宽流量为0.625×10-3～12.5×10-3m3/(s·m).研究结果表明,坡面薄层水流流态与水深密切相关,坡面流的流态基本上呈过渡流和紊流;薄层水流平均流速、水深和Darcy-Weisbach阻力系数主要受流量控制,坡度的影响并不显著,其关系均可用流量和坡度的幂函数形式模拟,相关系数(R2)分别为0.98、0.97和0.95,去掉坡度后相关系数分别下降7%、16%和3%.随着雷诺数的增大,Darcy-Weisbach阻力系数下降.当单宽流量小于0.008m3/(s·m)时,坡度对阻力系数的影响较为显著;当流量大于0.008m3/(s·m)时,阻力系数基本受流量控制.随着流量增大,阻力系数呈幂函数形式递减.  相似文献